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Re: "Shorting" the real estate market?

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 Re: "Shorting" the real estate market? Pat Reply Send to a Friend   Print
 
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"Shorting" the real estate market? Pat 07-23-2006
And one more newbie question.

Here's the chart for the CFE Housing Futures, San Francisco:
http://chartsrdc.cme.com:443/cs/charts.jsp?_symbol=SFR&_month=-1

Ok, so right now, it's trading around 218. But how does that number relate
to the actual Case-Shiller home price index? (They say thats the index on
which the futures are based.) To put it more concretely, if home prices in
San Francisco dropped 20% over the next six months, would that mean that
the CME Housing futures would drop 20% to somewhere around 175?


other useful resources:
Government National Mortgage Association - Ginnie Mae
The National Home Equity Mortgage Association
Fannie Mae Mortgage
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